Clarksburg, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

035
FXUS61 KRLX 250729
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
329 AM EDT Fri Apr 25 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Increasing chances for showers and storms into Friday.
Remaining unsettled through Saturday. High pressure returns
early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 308 AM Friday...

Showers should continue to drift north of the area into this morning
before a brief lull in activity is expected. Shower and thunderstorm
activity will begin to increase again by this afternoon as pre-
frontal trough ahead of an approaching cold front nudges through the
area, bringing chances for showers/storms through Friday night.
Relatively weak flow aloft and somewhat metered instability as a
result of poor heating due to antecedent rainfall/cloud cover will
likely limit the overall severe weather threat today, but it would
not be impossible to see a strong storm or two, namely in the form
of strong/damaging winds as storms collapse.

Otherwise, there is a marginal risk for excessive rainfall today and
tonight, given slow storm motion and likely repeated rainfall across
many locations, this could lead to some minor flooding issues into
early Saturday, with generally around a half inch to an inch of rain
expected for most of the area, with some higher totals approaching
1.5" across the mountains. Locally higher totals are likely in
areas that see thunderstorms and repeated instances of
shower/storm activity.

Temperatures today will be a bit cooler given our lingering cloud
deck with high temperatures generally in the low to mid 70`s across
the lowlands and upper 50`s to mid 60`s in the mountains. There
could be areas that see a slight nudge upward in terms of
temperatures, dependent on where any cloud breaks form today that
lead to more efficient heating, but even then should not stray too
far from forecasted highs.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 300 AM Friday...

The front is forecast to either be just departing the CWA to
the east by sunrise Saturday, or in the middle of pushing across
the CWA. Behind the front, some lingering showers and perhaps a
few rumbles of thunder are expected on Saturday, with the best
chances in and near the higher terrain. Dry air working in with
the encroaching high pressure will bring an end to any lingering
showers Saturday evening. Clear conditions are then expected
through Monday.

Behind the front, high temps on Saturday and Sunday may well be
a few degrees below normal for much of the area. Temperatures
then rebound strongly starting Monday as the high slides off to
the east, with the upper-level ridge moving overhead and some
gentle S`ly breezes forecast to develop. With calm winds and
clear skies, will need to monitor for fog potential Sunday
night, but the dewpoints may well be too low for that to happen.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 320 AM Friday...

After a likely dry night for Monday night, showers and possibly
a few afternoon storms re-enter the picture as low pressure
moving across the Great Lakes and into eastern Canada pushes a
front towards us. Models remain a bit split on the timing and
details, but at this point the bulk of the guidance points to
the front wavering across the area for the middle part of the
week. As of right now, the consensus thinking would have the
front trying to push through the CWA Tuesday night or Wednesday,
but stalling either over or just south of the CWA before
lifting back north Wednesday night or Thursday. The front may
then finally push through for good late in the week, beyond the
scope of the official forecast period, as the upper-level trough
swings across the region. While the models may differ on the
finer details, the overall thinking is similar, so we keep
chance to low-end likely POPs across the CWA from later Tuesday
through Thursday, and that may continue to late in the week
until the front passes.

Tuesday may end up being the warmest day of the week, with
highs in the 80s for lower elevations and 70s in the mountains.
But that will be dependent on the strength of the warm advection
and how fast any showers and storms kick off or enter the area.
With more widespread rain and clouds for Wednesday and Thursday
expected, there`s a good chance those days will be a bit less
warm, but there remains a good deal of spread in the forecast
there at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 138 AM Friday...

Scattered showers continue across primarily the western half of
our area, with the risk for thunderstorms diminishing given loss
of instability. Showers will continue to develop across the area
overnight and into Friday and gradually increase in coverage by
the afternoon, with thunderstorms once again becoming possible
Friday afternoon into Friday night. These will likely result in
MVFR CIGs/VISBYs for most, if not all terminals, at times with
IFR/LIFR conditions possible in the heaviest showers/storms,
with IFR CIGs expected for most terminals late in the period.

Winds will be light and variable overnight, with higher
gusts/erratic direction possible in any showers/isolated storms.
Otherwise, winds will gradually increase this afternoon with
south turning southwest gusts of 10 to 20 mph expected area-
wide, with higher gusts possible in the mountains and near BKW.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing, location, and intensity of showers
and thunderstorms may vary from the forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                    FRI 04/25/25
UTC 1HRLY       08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19
EDT 1HRLY       04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    M    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    M    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 06Z SATURDAY...
IFR possible in showers and storms through Saturday.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...28/FK
NEAR TERM...28
SHORT TERM...FK
LONG TERM...FK
AVIATION...28